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2025 Cruise Industry Outlook

Stability and innovation to lead the way for the cruise sector in 2025

After years of turbulence brought on by the pandemic and a surge in demand, the cruise industry is set to stabilise in 2025. Strong forward bookings and limited capacity are expected to keep cruise pricing buoyant throughout much of the year, providing a solid foundation for the industry.

However, there might be a slight softening in demand for longer vacations by year’s end. With rising debt and depleted savings after prioritising big-ticket bucket-list trips, New Zealand travellers may pull back on spending. While the luxury cruise market is expected to remain largely unaffected, larger lines with bigger ships could feel the pinch as travellers become more cautious.

Value Proposition and Creative Strategies

The cruise industry remains well-positioned to weather any slowdown, with its value proposition continuing to outshine many land-based vacations. To maintain demand, cruise lines are leaning into innovation, such as integrating land-style attractions onboard. Royal Caribbean International’s Icon of the Seas, featuring a six-slide waterpark, is expected to captivate vacationers during its first full year of operation in 2025.

Additionally, lines are employing advanced marketing strategies powered by artificial intelligence to drive pre-cruise spending and enhance guest experiences. These efforts aim to keep onboard revenues robust despite economic challenges.

New Ships and Private Destinations Take the Spotlight

The industry will welcome over half a dozen new large ships in 2025, including the highly anticipated MSC World America, set to debut in the Caribbean in spring. However, 2025 may be remembered as the “Year of Private Destinations.” Major cruise lines are unveiling or enhancing exclusive beach destinations in the Caribbean:

  • Carnival Cruise Line: Celebration Key, Grand Bahama
  • Royal Caribbean International: Royal Beach Club, Nassau
  • Disney Cruise Line: Lookout Cay at Lighthouse Point
  • Celebrity Cruises: Continuing calls at Perfect Day at CocoCay
  • MSC Cruises: Enhancements to Ocean Cay MSC Marine Reserve
  • Norwegian Cruise Line: Upgrades at Great Stirrup Cay

In Alaska, cruise lines are addressing local concerns over tourism volume by investing in sustainable port projects, such as Royal Caribbean Group’s plans for a new port in Juneau to ease congestion. Meanwhile, Galveston, Texas, is set to emerge as a key hub, with a fourth terminal opening for MSC and Norwegian Cruise Line.

Sustainability and Geopolitical Challenges

Sustainability remains a critical focus for the industry. Cruise lines will continue exploring biofuels while awaiting scalable clean energy solutions like green hydrogen and methanol. Some operators may retire older ships to meet net-zero carbon goals by 2050. Concerns over over tourism may lead to stricter port regulations, including caps on visitor numbers, increased taxes, and requirements for cleaner fuels.

Geopolitical factors will also shape itineraries in 2025. While some destinations remain off-limits, potential developments in the Ukraine conflict could bring St. Petersburg back into cruise schedules, should conditions allow.

As the cruise sector moves into 2025, it is poised to capitalise on its resilience and adaptability. Through innovative offerings, strategic marketing, and a commitment to sustainability, cruise lines aim to navigate challenges and provide unforgettable experiences for travellers worldwide. For New Zealand travel agents, this presents an opportunity to engage clients with fresh itineraries, exclusive destinations, and unparalleled value.

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